liquid

Tuesday, March 22, 2005

I'm Feeling Better

liquid's YTD: $623.20

I thought I had a lock on a losing night, but I managed to eke out a meager $9 profit, so my streak is intact. I did knock my hourly rate back almost a dollar though.

I caught a long run of lousy starting hands, and the playable hands I got rarely hit a flop. My bluffs and semi-bluffs were rebuffed enough to rough me up (nice alliteration, eh?) and I ended up reloading three times. But it's strange: it was almost a relief to lose a bit, as if I was paying off some karma. Yet another hole in my game.

After the third reload, I finally earned a modest win, and a few hands later I won a pot that pushed me into the black for the night. For a change, I'm actually proud of my play.

Omaha Hi $0.50-$1 PL (real money), hand #754,xxx,xxx
Table Serka, 22 Mar 2005 10:55 PM

Seat 1: SB ($8.50 in chips)
Seat 3: BB ($91.50 in chips)
Seat 4: UTG ($11.25 in chips)
Seat 6: foe ($31 in chips)
Seat 7: MP1 ($86.75 in chips)
Seat 8: hero [6H,7S,3H,5C] ($58.50 in chips)
Seat 9: MP2 ($43.25 in chips)
Seat 10: button ($31.75 in chips)

ANTES/BLINDS
SB posts blind ($0.25), BB posts blind ($0.50).

PRE-FLOP
UTG calls $0.50, foe calls $0.50, MP1 folds


Pre-flop raises in PokerRoom.com $0.50/$1 PLO games almost always indicate aces, so I'm determined to start raising with a wider variety of hands, especially if I can win position.

hero bets $2, MP2 folds, button calls $2, SB folds, BB calls $1.50, UTG calls $1.50, foe calls $1.50.

FLOP [board cards KH,3S,4H ]


I like this flop a lot: nine outs to a nut straight, and nine outs to a low flush as a backup. Better yet, the straight is well-disguised with my pre-flop raise. I think this merits a pot-sized bet.

BB checks, UTG checks, foe checks, hero bets $10, button folds, BB folds, UTG folds, foe bets $29 and is all-in


The check raise screams set, although he could be pushing a flush draw if he has me pinned on aces. If he has only a set or only a flush draw, I'm getting great value. The clincher: he's short stacked.

hero calls $19.

TURN [board cards KH,3S,4H,8H ]

RIVER [board cards KH,3S,4H,8H,9H ]

SHOWDOWN
foe shows [ 4S,6S,4C,6C ]
hero shows [ 6H,7S,3H,5C ]
hero wins $65.25.

SUMMARY
Pot: $68.25, (including rake: $3)
SB, loses $0.25
BB, loses $2
UTG, loses $2
foe, loses $31
MP1, loses $0
hero, bets $31, collects $65.25, net $34.25
MP2, loses $0
button, loses $2


I did the analysis just now, and my odds against his set come out to a coin flip.

pokenum -o 6h 7s 3h 5c - 4s 6s 4c 6c -- kh 3s 4h
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing 3s Kh 4h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
7s 5c 6h 3h 402 49.02 414 50.49 4 0.49 0.493
6s 4s 6c 4c 414 50.49 402 49.02 4 0.49 0.507


He would have been in slightly better shape with a flush draw and, say, a pair as backup:

pokenum -o 6h 7s 3h 5c - ah kc jh tc -- kh 3s 4h
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing 3s Kh 4h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
7s 5c 6h 3h 336 40.98 484 59.02 0 0.00 0.410
Kc Tc Ah Jh 484 59.02 336 40.98 0 0.00 0.590

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